Morbidity has been defined as any departure, subjective or objective, from a state of physiological or psychological well-being. In practice, morbidity encompasses disease, injury, and disability. In addition, although for this lesson the term refers to the number of persons who are ill, it can also be used to describe the periods of illness that these persons experienced, or the duration of these illnesses.(4)
Measures of morbidity frequency characterize the number of persons in a population who become ill (incidence) or are ill at a given time (prevalence). Commonly used measures are listed in Table 3.3.
Table 3.3 Frequently Used Measures of Morbidity
Measure |
Numerator |
Denominator |
Incidence proportion |
Number of new cases of disease during specified time interval |
Population at start of time interval |
Secondary attack rate |
Number of new cases among contacts |
Total number of contacts |
Incidence rate |
Number of new cases of disease during specified time interval |
Summed person-years of observation or average population during time interval |
Point prevalence |
Number of current cases (new and preexisting) at a specified point in time |
Population at the same specified point in time |
Period prevalence |
Number of current cases (new and preexisting) over a specified period of time |
Average or mid-interval population |
Incidence refers to the occurrence of new cases of disease or injury in a population over a specified period of time. Although some epidemiologists use incidence to mean the number of new cases in a community, others use incidence to mean the number of new cases per unit of population.
Two types of incidence are commonly used — incidence proportion and incidence rate.
Incidence proportion or risk Definition of incidence proportion
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Incidence proportion is the proportion of an initially disease-free population that develops disease, becomes injured, or dies during a specified (usually limited) period of time. Synonyms include attack rate, risk, probability of getting disease, and cumulative incidence. Incidence proportion is a proportion because the persons in the numerator, those who develop disease, are all included in the denominator (the entire population).
Method for calculating incidence proportion (risk)
Number of new cases of disease or injury during
specified period
[Image: divided by]
Size of population at start of period
EXAMPLES: Calculating Incidence Proportion (Risk)
Example A: In the study of diabetics, 100 of the 189 diabetic men died during the 13-year follow-up period. Calculate the risk of death for these men.
Numerator = 100 deaths among the diabetic men
Denominator = 189 diabetic men
10n = 102 = 100
Risk = (100 ⁄ 189) × 100 = 52.9%
Example B: In an outbreak of gastroenteritis among attendees of a corporate picnic, 99 persons ate potato salad, 30 of whom developed gastroenteritis. Calculate the risk of illness among persons who ate potato salad.
Numerator = 30 persons who ate potato salad and developed gastroenteritis
Denominator = 99 persons who ate potato salad
10n = 102 = 100
Risk = “Food-specific attack rate” = (30 ⁄ 99) × 100 = 0.303 × 100 = 30.3%
Properties and uses of incidence proportions
- Incidence proportion is a measure of the risk of disease or the probability of developing the disease during the specified period. As a measure of incidence, it includes only new cases of disease in the numerator. The denominator is the number of persons in the population at the start of the observation period. Because all of the persons with new cases of disease (numerator) are also represented in the denominator, a risk is also a proportion.